Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Belmont analysis: Oct. 18

1. Scott's Aly Catnever fired in return on the grass but can rebound returning to the main track for McLaughlin. Karma Policetakes needed drop making second start back after tiring in return; owns a win over this strip. Queen of the Lakehas speed and the rail; the one to catch.

2. Security Analysisgoes turf to dirt trying claimers for the first time; has worked well on dirt. Act of Divinitynever factored in debut at Saratoga against better but can wake up at this level adding Lasix. Perfect Sundayfinds a soft spot to make initial going; working steadily.

3. Inauguratehasn't been out since Sept. 2 when she just missed at the Spa; working steadily for return. Sheza Heartbreakerwas a clear second in latest but is tough to like given 3-for-33 career record. Lawless Missships in from Jersey for sharp Goldberg barn; has won two of four career turf tries. DIRT SELECTIONS: Easy Ending, Centrique.

4. Twice the Ladyhasn't started since Aug. 18 but shows a string of works leading up to this; Castellano takes the call. Fantasy of Flightmoves into the Rick Dutrow barn, which is 27% with new acquisitions; top threat. Geeky Gorgeoushas won three of last four at Monmouth; fits with these.

5. The West Rimwas nailed on the wire in return when a nose short; the one to beat for Chad Brown. Memories Madetakes the blinkers off after failing as the chalk in most recent; appears best of the rest. Centrinaexits same heat as the top choice when third; owns six wins over this course.

6. National Prayershowed some ability in debut at Saratoga before tiring to sixth; adds the blinkers. Quinby Petehas been second best in both career outings, including latest as the favorite; can atone. Brother Bobgoes first time off the Rick Dutrow claim (33%). Acclaimdrilled two bullets for this at Monmouth.

7. Malibu Holidaywon for fun in latest at Presque Isle Downs over the synthetic; didn't run bad in lone turf try when a close fifth. Irish Weddingwas caught late going longer in latest; cuts back and should be involved from the start. Market Princesshas been second in both turf tries; consider. DIRT SELECTIONS: Raquel, Coast of Sangria.

8. Free as a Birddrew off to break maiden by over seven in turf debut; gets call to take another. Zultanitehas been in deep in recent starts; switches to Rosario and can rebound. Island Schoolhas been second best in both grass tries over this course. Antonia Autumndraws a tough post but has to be considered under Dominguez. DIRT SELECTIONS: Island School, Glorietta Bay.

9. English Majoradds blinkers going first time off the Rice claim (20%); 2-for-2 at this distance. See Me Proudfailed to fire in off-the-turfer in last but just missed two back on the grass. Adirondack Dancerhas won two of five career turf tries. DIRT SELECTIONS: Truetap, Romancing the Gold.

BEST BET -- The West Rim (5th)

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/NydnRss/~3/Z1oyPees1Ag/story01.htm

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